Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.103034e-05 1.358274e-05 0.000016 0.000020 0.000024 0.000028 0.000033
2026-01-11 7.731932e-06 1.092304e-05 0.000015 0.000020 0.000026 0.000033 0.000042
2026-01-18 5.953631e-06 9.511944e-06 0.000014 0.000021 0.000029 0.000039 0.000052
2026-01-25 4.505381e-06 8.134830e-06 0.000013 0.000021 0.000031 0.000044 0.000061
2026-02-01 3.285133e-06 6.752055e-06 0.000012 0.000020 0.000032 0.000047 0.000068
2026-02-08 2.322639e-06 5.494663e-06 0.000011 0.000019 0.000032 0.000049 0.000074
2026-02-15 1.671255e-06 4.567969e-06 0.000010 0.000019 0.000033 0.000052 0.000080
2026-02-22 1.210036e-06 3.844982e-06 0.000009 0.000018 0.000033 0.000055 0.000087
2026-03-01 8.270252e-07 3.133703e-06 0.000008 0.000017 0.000033 0.000056 0.000091
2026-03-08 5.208972e-07 2.449659e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000032 0.000057 0.000095
2026-03-15 3.392447e-07 1.992776e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000032 0.000058 0.000099
2026-03-22 2.312009e-07 1.692908e-06 0.000006 0.000015 0.000033 0.000061 0.000105
2026-03-29 1.177663e-07 1.283471e-06 0.000005 0.000015 0.000033 0.000063 0.000112
2026-04-05 6.284244e-08 1.042006e-06 0.000005 0.000015 0.000034 0.000068 0.000123
2026-04-12 3.803881e-08 9.256450e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000037 0.000074 0.000137
2026-04-19 1.795142e-08 7.654169e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000039 0.000080 0.000149
2026-04-26 5.504250e-09 5.808917e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000039 0.000083 0.000158
2026-05-03 7.884268e-10 4.127572e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000039 0.000085 0.000166
2026-05-10 2.335925e-11 2.980473e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000040 0.000088 0.000174
2026-05-17 NaN 2.155168e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000040 0.000091 0.000183
2026-05-24 NaN 1.412964e-07 0.000002 0.000013 0.000040 0.000093 0.000190
2026-05-31 NaN 8.061277e-08 0.000002 0.000012 0.000039 0.000093 0.000194
2026-06-07 NaN 4.820019e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000039 0.000095 0.000201